Newspaper Articles

"Geologists test area land for earthquake impact"
, FOX 7 On Your Side, Evansville IN,  11/17/03

"Quake's impact on local soil studied", Evansville Courier, 11/17/03

"Quake scientists mapping area before 'serious shaking'",Evansville Courier, 11/19/03

Thanks to Christine Martin (Evansville DRC), and Heather Friesen & Butch Kinerney (USGS) for arranging press coverage!
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Geologists test area land for earthquake impact
FOX 7 On Your Side, Evansville IN  Nov. 17, 2003


Reporter: Casey Stegall

Evansville, IN November 18 -- An earthquake can be both damaging and frightening. But some scientists think the Midwest could actually be prone to more earthquake damage than other parts of the country.

We all know the Tri-State is close to New Madrid fault line. That, mixed with silty and loose soil in this area, causes experts to fear this terrible combination if a big one hits.

A truck plays a key role in figuring out where damage is most likely to occur. It plunges a probe 40 feet into the earth's surface, collecting important data along the way. The idea is to get a feel for what the ground is made of.

"If you have looser material, the more devastation," explained geologist Richard Harrison.

One theory is the ground will actually liquify if a big enough earthquake hits. "When you have loose soil mixed with water, the ground becomes unsteady," said Thomas Noce of the U.S. Geological Survey.

Their findings, so far, indicate parts of the Midwest have very loose soil, which could have unimaginable consequences. "Buildings will sink, pipes will break," Noce said.

The testing truck travels the country taking measurements. The information is then crunched and mapped for use in picking the best spots for building new roads and major structures.

The truck will be in Evansville over the next few weeks. They'll test about 40 sites total while they're here. It will be some time before their official findings are released.

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Quake's impact on local soil studied

By HERB MARYNELL Courier & Press staff writer

November 17, 2003

Testing being conducted over the next few weeks should determine if a major earthquake could cause liquefaction under Evansville, causing foundations to break and structures to sink.
The testing is being done by scientists from Indiana, Kentucky and U.S. Geological Survey organizations.
Roger Lehman, city-county building commissioner and president of the Southwest Indiana Disaster Resistant Community Corp. (DRC), said this is the first time such extensive testing has been done on the possible liquefaction of the ground under the city's center.
Liquefaction is where the ground turns to "soup" or quicksand.
The work comes as the city kicks off Earthquake Awareness Week today.
Christine Martin, DRC executive director, said the core of the city is built on silt.
"If we have a very hard earthquake," she said, "there's a high potential for liquefaction and the Downtown sliding into the river."
Lehman said whether liquefaction occurs depends on the underground water table at the time of a major earthquake. "We've got plenty of water," he added.
The scientists from the three geological survey organizations will use a high-tech, 20-ton cone penetration testing truck for the tests. The truck is equipped with a cylinder that uses hydraulics to shove a metal cone into the ground to a depth of at least 60 feet, Lehman said.
The equipment measures the resistance of the ground to the cone, giving an indication of how much load bearing capacity the ground has, he said.
The testing also determines the type of soil and how fast shock waves move through it, he said.
The test equipment will give officials "additional information about liquefaction that we don't have," Lehman said. The scientists also will review sediments and evidence of liquefaction from previous earthquakes.
The study should indicate areas most subject to liquefaction, whether existing building codes are adequate and assist in land-use and public safety decisions and plans in the future, Lehman and Martin said.
Engineers also can incorporate the data into design plans for developments to reduce the impact or likelihood of building failures in major earthquakes, Lehman said.
Lehman said most significant structures built in the previous 25 years have pilings that go down past the 60 foot level.
The silt found in portions of the city comes from water runoff from the last glacier that reached to the northern edge of today's Vanderburgh County 10,000 or more years ago.
Lehman said the theory is that the glacier pushed a pile of debris miles ahead. As the glacier melted and receded, water could have become trapped between the glacier and the debris field, creating a possible lake in what is now Evansville.
"Now we will find out if that is true" from the tests, he said.
The scientists will be here three or four more weeks conducting tests generally in an area bordered by Franklin Street, Pigeon Creek, Morgan Avenue and U.S. 41, he said.
Tests also are being completed on the city's far East Side to determine how extensive silt under the surface may be, he said.
Earthquakes are not rare in the Tri-State area. The last notable earthquake was in June 2000 and was a 5.0 magnitude, Lehman said.
Massive earthquakes in 1811 and 1812 along the fault in New Madrid, Mo., caused the Mississippi River to run upstream, church bells to ring in Boston and created Reelfoot Lake in Tennessee. Those earthquakes later were estimated at a magnitude of 8.4 to 8.7.
Lehman said the goal is to find ways to protect the public from earthquakes in the magnitude range of 7.0 to 7.5.
Mayor Russ Lloyd Jr. will read a proclamation today for Earthquake Awareness Week and outline events planned this week by the local Disaster Resistant Community group.
This will include unveiling of a new three-dimensional seismograph at Harrison High School.
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Quake scientists mapping area before 'serious shaking'

By MARK WILSON Courier & Press staff writer
November 19, 2003

Thousands of years before Native Americans or early pioneer settlers made their dwellings here, the seeds of the potential destruction of the structures were already planted deep beneath the Earth's surface.

"It has always been here. The Wabash Valley Seismic Zone is a zone of major faulting at depth. It has been around many years," said geologist Norm Hester on Tuesday.

Hester, a former director of the Indiana Geological Survey at Indiana University, is working with the U.S. Geological Survey and the Central U.S. Earthquake Consortium in a five-year program to assess the earthquake hazards in the greater Evansville area.

The effort will eventually yield three-dimensional earthquake hazard maps that will provide better guidance for building codes, setting insurance rates, siting and designing buildings and implementing emergency response and mitigation plans.

The hazard has not increased, but as the area has grown, the risk to its population has grown, too.

"The risk we have is because of the built environment," Hester said. "Nobody has intentionally built in harm's way but you have to build somewhere. There are lots of good reasons to build in a river area."

Recent field work has shown that a major earthquake has already happened in the Wabash Valley fault zone in the past several thousand years, Hester said. The chances that it will happen again are good.

"The USGS has gone on record that there is a 25 percent to 40 percent chance that a 6.0 or greater earthquake will occur in the next 50 years," he said. "It's going to do some serious shaking."

About 30 counties in Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky could be affected, Hester said, and there is potential for serious damage to unreinforced buildings.

Although geologists know there is no way to say with any certainty when an earthquake might happen, there is significant opportunity to understand where it is likely to hit the hardest and use that information to curb the risk. As our understanding of the hazards beneath us increases, Hester said, so does our capability to build structures that can better withstand earthquake damage.

"People want to know more, and they need to know what kind of risk they are looking at," said Roger Lehman, Evansville-Vanderburgh County building commissioner.

Such engineering decisions, Lehman said, are currently based on much more generalized national hazard maps.

"It is like looking at a map of the United States where one inch equals a thousand miles and trying to plan where you want to put something," he said. "At least this will be area and region specific. We have been trying to get better information for 20 years."

Much of the Tri-State rests on a thick bed of saturated sediment, sometimes as deep as 100 feet, above the bedrock. The geologists are working to understand how greatly these geologic features will amplify the shaking of a major earthquake and the potential for soil liquefaction - a process by which water-saturated sediment temporarily loses strength and acts as fluid.

Tom Noce, a USGS geologist helping on the project, is using in the Evansville area the same technology he has put to work around Memphis, Tenn., and Oakland, Calif., in recent years to determine the properties of soils in the areas. The information will be used to help create the maps.

It is done using a special Cone Penetration Testing truck. The 23-ton truck, weighed down with the addition of 14 tons of lead, uses the truck's weight to help push sensors into the ground down to depths of 170 feet.

The hollow steel tip of the probe contains about $4,000 worth of sensor technology, Noce said, that will relay data back to a computer in the truck. That data is displayed in graph form on a monitor and printed out. It is also stored so that it can be injected into computer models to determine the effect of earthquakes of different magnitudes on the soil conditions.

Noce has spent the last two weeks taking readings from the flood plain between Evansville and the Ohio River. Starting Tuesday near Epworth Road in Warrick County, he began an effort to take readings from across the northern part of the Evansville area.
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